A recent decision from the U.S. District Court for the Middle District of Tennessee marks a significant development in the ongoing dispute over whether sports event contracts offered on prediction market platforms are properly regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) or whether such contracts should be regulated by the states as sports betting. Tennessee officials had issued a cease‑and‑desist order contending that certain sports‑linked event contracts were akin to unlicensed sports wagering under state law. Prediction contract platform provider, Kalshi, responded by filing suit in federal court, arguing that these contracts were “swaps” governed exclusively by the Commodity Exchange Act and subject to the CFTC’s jurisdiction, not Tennessee’s sports‑betting framework.







